CH
Community Healthcare Trust Inc (CHCT)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 results were stable quarter-over-quarter: revenue $29.30M, GAAP diluted EPS $0.04, FFO/share $0.48, AFFO/share $0.55; year-over-year comparisons were lower primarily due to one challenged geriatric psychiatric hospital tenant moved to cash basis in Q2 2024 .
- Portfolio occupancy ticked down to 90.9% with WALT at 6.7 years; management expects occupancy to remain in the 91–93% range as redevelopment projects commence leases in 1H25 .
- Liquidity improved materially: revolver upsized to $400M, maturity extended to 2029, with no debt maturities until March 2028, supporting selective acquisitions and potential capital recycling .
- Dividend raised again to $0.4675 (annualized $1.87); management reiterated comfort with coverage and pointed to resolution of the tenant issue and redevelopment tailwinds as supports .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- FFO/AFFO per share held steady sequentially at $0.48/$0.55; property operating expenses fell q/q on lower seasonal utilities, helping offset modestly higher interest expense .
- External growth pipeline intact: acquired three physician clinics ($8.2M) at ~9.4% returns; seven additional properties under definitive PSA for
$169.5M at 9.1%–9.75% returns; two near-term closings expected ($33M) . - Balance sheet flexibility increased: $400M revolver, extended maturity and lower pricing; no maturities until Mar-2028 .
- Quote: “We are proud to have raised our dividend every quarter since our IPO.” – CEO Dave Dupuy .
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What Went Wrong
- Year-over-year pressure: FFO declined ~14.5% and AFFO ~9% versus Q4 2023, primarily due to lost rent and interest from the geriatric psych operator shifted to cash basis in Q2 2024 .
- Occupancy edged down to 90.9% (from 91.3% in Q3) on late-quarter expirations/terminations; WALT declined to 6.7 years .
- Interest expense ticked up q/q (to $6.4M) given higher borrowings under the revolver and term loan grid impacts despite lower revolver spread post-upsizing .
Financial Results
Quarterly performance (oldest → newest):
Q4 year-over-year comparison:
KPIs and portfolio activity:
Notes: Q2 revenue and EPS were impacted by tenant revenue/interest reversals ($3.2M) and an $11.0M CECL reserve on notes receivable; the CECL did not impact FFO/AFFO calculations .
Guidance Changes
No formal revenue, earnings, or margin guidance provided. Management reiterated an annual acquisitions target as a directional goal, and raised the dividend.
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategy and capital: “We…anticipate having sufficient capital from selected asset sales, coupled with our increased revolver capacity to fund near-term acquisitions… including, if authorized, potential share repurchases, all while maintaining modest leverage levels.” – CEO Dave Dupuy .
- Dividend: “We declared our dividend for the fourth quarter and raised it to $0.4675 per common share… We are proud to have raised our dividend every quarter since our IPO.” – CEO Dave Dupuy .
- Pipeline and hurdle rates: “$120–$150 million is absolutely still the goal… our bar has been raised a little bit as far as yield… focused on being accretive on an AFFO per share basis.” – CEO Dave Dupuy .
- Tenant path forward: “The tenant… indicated that they can make payments of $100,000 to $200,000 per quarter… evaluating strategic alternatives, including the potential sale of… hospitals.” – CEO Dave Dupuy .
- Dividend coverage: “We feel comfortable with our dividend coverage… at some point we are going to resolve the geriatric psych issue… a significant amount of additional AFFO as we resolve that issue.” – CEO Dave Dupuy .
Q&A Highlights
- Tenant resolution timeline and cash flows: Small payment received in January; tenant suggests $100–$200k per quarter across rent and interest; CHCT pursuing parallel paths including tenant asset sales and, if needed, replacements; better clarity expected over coming quarters .
- Funding strategy: Near-term acquisitions (~$33M) to be bridged by revolver with planned deleveraging via capital recycling; potential use of ATM if share price improves; balance sheet conservatism emphasized .
- Acquisitions cadence: Annual $120–$150M target deemed achievable, but deal bar higher given cost of equity; focus on accretive (AFFO/share) execution .
- Dividend coverage: Management reiterated comfort with dividend on cash basis given acquisition and redevelopment returns and eventual tenant resolution .
- Occupancy trajectory: Expect to remain in 91–93% range; redevelopment commencements to support occupancy and earnings; no material change expected near term .
Estimates Context
- We attempted to pull S&P Global consensus for Q4 revenue, FFO/share, and EPS but could not access due to daily request limits. As a result, we cannot provide a formal “vs. consensus” comparison for Q4 2024 at this time (Values would be retrieved from S&P Global).* [SPGI request limit error].
- Management characterized Q4 results as broadly in line with Q3 (stable FFO/AFFO and revenue), which aligns with reported figures .
- Where estimate comparisons are critical for your process, we can re-run S&P Global pulls upon access reset and update beat/miss calculations accordingly.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Sequential stabilization: Revenues, FFO/share ($0.48) and AFFO/share ($0.55) held flat q/q as property-level expenses normalized seasonally; near-term earnings appear anchored while tenant resolution progresses .
- Healthy liquidity and flexibility: $400M revolver, extended maturity runway, and capital recycling options provide ample capacity to fund selective high-9% yield deals without stressing leverage or issuing dilutive equity at current prices .
- Dividend durability: The quarterly dividend increased to $0.4675; management remains comfortable with coverage, with potential upside from tenant resolution and redevelopment commencements in 1H25 .
- Watch the tenant timeline: Incremental payments have begun, and strategic alternatives are under evaluation; clarity on consistency and magnitude of rent/interest over the next couple of quarters is a key stock narrative driver .
- Acquisition execution remains intact: Q4 purchases ($8.2M at
9.4%) and a robust PSA pipeline ($169.5M at 9.1–9.75%) support medium-term AFFO growth if funding remains balanced and capital recycling is executed efficiently . - Occupancy tailwinds: Management expects occupancy to remain in the 91–93% band, with redevelopments commencing in coming quarters to aid rent growth and utilization .
- Trading implication: Near-term stock catalysts hinge on confirmed tenant cash flow resumption or asset sale progress, and tangible steps on capital recycling to fund accretive acquisitions at high yields without pressuring leverage .
Additional detail and source documents:
- Q4 2024 press release and financials .
- Q4 2024 earnings call transcript (prepared remarks and Q&A) .
- Prior quarters for trend context: Q3 2024 press release and reconciliation ; Q3 2024 call –; Q2 2024 press release and reconciliation ; Q2 2024 call –.
- Revolver upsizing and maturity extension (Oct 2024) .
Footnote: *Values would be retrieved from S&P Global.